Space weather

Solar wind speed Solar wind magnetic fields Noon 10.7cm radio flux
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Update

Update

Update
ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 21.05.2025 01.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 21 0140 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 21.05.2025 01.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 21 0138 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 21 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Issued: 20.05.2025 22.55 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 May 20 2239 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 20 2239 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 20 2243 UTC
Duration: 4 minutes
Peak Flux: 190 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 119 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 20.05.2025 14.27 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3466
Begin Time: 2025 May 18 1705 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1870 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 20.05.2025 07.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 20 0711 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 20 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 19.05.2025 18.01 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3465
Begin Time: 2025 May 18 1705 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1870 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 19.05.2025 10.13 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3464
Begin Time: 2025 May 18 1705 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1155 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 18.05.2025 23.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4969
Valid From: 2025 May 16 2255 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 19 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 18.05.2025 17.21 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 18 1705 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 18.05.2025 14.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4968
Valid From: 2025 May 16 2255 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 18 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 18.05.2025 08.35 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 18 0834 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 21.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4967
Valid From: 2025 May 16 2255 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 18 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 20.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2044
Valid From: 2025 May 17 0050 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 18 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 11.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2043
Valid From: 2025 May 17 0050 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 17 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 11.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 580
Valid From: 2025 May 17 0052 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 17 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 17.05.2025 11.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 17 1122 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 17.05.2025 05.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 17 0459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Issued: 17.05.2025 00.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 17 0054 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 17.05.2025 00.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 17 0052 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 00.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 17 0052 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 17 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 17.05.2025 00.51 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 17 0050 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 17 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 16.05.2025 23.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 16 2331 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 16.05.2025 22.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 16 2255 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 17 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 16.05.2025 19.00 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 17: None (Below G1) May 18: G1 (Minor) May 19: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Comment: Coronal Hole High Speed Stream influences will likely lead to G1 storm potential 18-19 May.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 16.05.2025 07.42 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 16 0742 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 16 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 15.05.2025 22.52 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 16: None (Below G1) May 17: None (Below G1) May 18: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 15.05.2025 05.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 15 0508 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 15 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 15.05.2025 05.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4964
Valid From: 2025 May 15 0332 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 15 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 15.05.2025 03.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 15 0345 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 15.05.2025 03.33 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 15 0332 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 15 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 14.05.2025 18.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 14 1755 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 14.05.2025 18.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 14 1730 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 15 0000 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Issued: 14.05.2025 11.36 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 May 14 1104 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 14 1119 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 14 1131 UTC
X-ray Class: M7
Optical Class: na
Location: N15E58
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Issued: 14.05.2025 11.17 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 14 1115 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Issued: 14.05.2025 08.39 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025 May 14 0804 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 14 0825 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 14 0831 UTC
X-ray Class: X2.7
Optical Class: 2b
Location: N15E60
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Issued: 14.05.2025 08.30 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 May 14 0817 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 14 0818 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 14 0818 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 390 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 117 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Issued: 14.05.2025 08.19 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 14 0817 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 14.05.2025 04.20 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 May 14 0323 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 238 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Issued: 14.05.2025 03.45 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded M5
Begin Time: 2025 May 14 0305 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 14 0325 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 14 0335 UTC
X-ray Class: M5.3
Location: N17E65
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered primarily on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth.
Radio - Limited blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for tens of minutes.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Issued: 14.05.2025 03.25 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 14 0323 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 14.05.2025 00.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 14 0058 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 14 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Issued: 13.05.2025 18.52 UTC
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
Valid From: 2025 May 13 1930 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 14 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
Predicted NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Radio - Minor impacts on polar HF (high frequency) radio propagation resulting in fades at lower frequencies.

SUMMARY
10cm Radio Burst
Issued: 13.05.2025 16.13 UTC
10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2025 May 13 1534 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 13 1534 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 13 1535 UTC
Duration: 1 minutes
Peak Flux: 220 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 116 sfu
Description: A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.

ALERT
Type II Radio Emission
Issued: 13.05.2025 16.07 UTC
Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2025 May 13 1542 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 658 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

SUMMARY
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Issued: 13.05.2025 15.52 UTC
X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2025 May 13 1525 UTC
Maximum Time: 2025 May 13 1538 UTC
End Time: 2025 May 13 1544 UTC
X-ray Class: X1.2
Optical Class: 1b
Location: N08W90
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.

ALERT
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Issued: 13.05.2025 15.37 UTC
X-Ray Flux exceeded M5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 13 1535 UTC
NOAA Scale: R2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact centered on sub-solar point on the sunlit side of Earth. Extent of blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication dependent upon current X-ray Flux intensity. For real-time information on affected area and expected duration please see http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 11.05.2025 21.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 11 2100 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 12 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 11.05.2025 21.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 11 2058 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: No
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 11.05.2025 20.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 11 2021 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 11.05.2025 14.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4960
Valid From: 2025 May 11 0420 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 12 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 11.05.2025 04.20 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 11 0420 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 11 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CANCEL WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 10.05.2025 10.26 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Cancel Serial Number: 2039
Original Issue Time: 2025 May 09 2348 UTC

Comment: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 no longer expected.

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 10.05.2025 06.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4958
Valid From: 2025 May 09 1953 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 10 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 10.05.2025 05.59 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2038
Valid From: 2025 May 09 2348 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 10 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 9.05.2025 23.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 09 2348 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 10 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 9.05.2025 19.57 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 09 1956 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 9.05.2025 19.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 09 1953 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 10 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 9.05.2025 06.42 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3462
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 15854 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 8.05.2025 22.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 08 2234 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 8.05.2025 22.24 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 08 2224 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 09 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 8.05.2025 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3461
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 12994 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 7.05.2025 11.47 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 07: None (Below G1) May 08: None (Below G1) May 09: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 7.05.2025 04.59 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3460
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 11876 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 6.05.2025 23.46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4955
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 07 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 6.05.2025 14.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4954
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 06 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 6.05.2025 08.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4953
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 06 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 6.05.2025 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3459
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 16255 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 5.05.2025 23.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2036
Valid From: 2025 May 04 2010 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 06 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 5.05.2025 18.06 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 06: G1 (Minor) May 07: None (Below G1) May 08: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 5.05.2025 18.03 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 05 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 5.05.2025 14.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2035
Valid From: 2025 May 04 2010 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 05 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 5.05.2025 14.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4952
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 06 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 5.05.2025 06.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 05 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 5.05.2025 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4951
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 05 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 5.05.2025 05.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2034
Valid From: 2025 May 04 2010 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 05 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 5.05.2025 05.00 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3458
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 9364 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 4.05.2025 20.11 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 04 2010 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 05 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 4.05.2025 18.58 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4950
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 05 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 4.05.2025 07.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 04 0752 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 4.05.2025 07.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4949
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 04 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 4.05.2025 07.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 04 0722 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 04 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 4.05.2025 05.31 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3457
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 5464 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 3.05.2025 17.27 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4948
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 04 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 3.05.2025 11.49 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2031
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 03 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 3.05.2025 10.32 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 03 1030 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

CONTINUED ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 3.05.2025 06.51 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Continuation of Serial Number: 3456
Begin Time: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Yesterday Maximum 2MeV Flux: 1451 pfu
Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 3.05.2025 01.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 03 0130 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 03 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 3.05.2025 01.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2030
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 03 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 3.05.2025 01.29 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4947
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 03 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 3.05.2025 00.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 03 0055 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 2.05.2025 23.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 2320 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 2.05.2025 18.02 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 1759 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1500-1800 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 2.05.2025 17.46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4946
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 03 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 2.05.2025 17.41 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2029
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 03 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 2.05.2025 14.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 1435 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 2.05.2025 13.44 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 1330 UTC
Station: GOES19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 2.05.2025 08.31 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2028
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 02 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 2.05.2025 08.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4945
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 02 2100 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 2.05.2025 05.07 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 0459 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 2.05.2025 02.06 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 02 0206 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 02 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 2.05.2025 01.55 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 02 0155 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 23.53 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4944
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 02 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 23.48 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 2027
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 02 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 1.05.2025 23.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 01 2339 UTC
Synoptic Period: 2100-2400 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 1.05.2025 20.23 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 01 2022 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WATCH
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Issued: 1.05.2025 17.50 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted

Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
May 02: G1 (Minor) May 03: None (Below G1) May 04: None (Below G1)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 13.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4943
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 02 0600 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 13.52 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 01 1350 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 01 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 10.40 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4942
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 May 01 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 1.05.2025 05.38 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 May 01 0532 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 1.05.2025 03.43 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 May 01 0343 UTC
Valid To: 2025 May 01 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 30.04.2025 11.30 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4940
Valid From: 2025 Apr 30 0225 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Apr 30 1500 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 30.04.2025 03.00 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 30 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 30.04.2025 02.25 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Apr 30 0225 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Apr 30 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Issued: 27.04.2025 16.32 UTC
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1000pfu
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 27 1605 UTC
Station: GOES-19

Potential Impacts: Satellite systems may experience significant charging resulting in increased risk to satellite systems.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 24.04.2025 17.16 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4938
Valid From: 2025 Apr 24 0655 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Apr 25 0900 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 24.04.2025 11.36 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4937
Valid From: 2025 Apr 24 0655 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Apr 24 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Issued: 24.04.2025 07.09 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 24 0703 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0600-0900 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 24.04.2025 06.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Valid From: 2025 Apr 24 0655 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Apr 24 1200 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 21.04.2025 23.56 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4935
Valid From: 2025 Apr 21 0218 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Apr 22 1159 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 21.04.2025 20.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 21 2033 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Issued: 21.04.2025 13.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-Index of 6 expected
Valid From: 2025 Apr 21 1353 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Apr 21 1800 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms.
Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible.
Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes.
Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 21.04.2025 13.54 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 21 1352 UTC
Synoptic Period: 1200-1500 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

ALERT
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Issued: 21.04.2025 11.46 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Threshold Reached: 2025 Apr 21 1142 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Issued: 21.04.2025 10.10 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Valid From: 2025 Apr 21 1010 UTC
Valid To: 2025 Apr 21 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Onset
NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.

EXTENDED WARNING
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Issued: 21.04.2025 09.34 UTC
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Extension to Serial Number: 4934
Valid From: 2025 Apr 21 0218 UTC
Now Valid Until: 2025 Apr 21 2359 UTC
Warning Condition: Persistence

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

Table

Date Radio flux 10.7 cm SESC Sunspot number Sunspot area 10E-6 New regions GOES15 X-ray Bkgd flux Flares
X-ray Optical
C M X S 1 2 3
21/04/25 163 137 830 1 * 2 1 0 4 1 0 0
22/04/25 163 142 610 3 * 2 1 0 6 0 0 0
23/04/25 167 132 700 1 * 6 0 0 9 0 0 0
24/04/25 170 152 600 1 * 5 0 0 4 0 0 0
25/04/25 164 169 810 4 * 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
26/04/25 156 172 530 0 * 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
27/04/25 156 119 420 0 * 5 0 0 2 0 0 0
28/04/25 154 134 660 2 * 7 0 0 6 0 0 0
29/04/25 149 105 830 0 * 12 3 0 10 3 0 0
30/04/25 148 77 1190 0 * 4 1 0 2 0 1 0
01/05/25 152 59 1290 0 * 6 0 0 5 0 0 0
02/05/25 152 38 1290 0 * 8 0 0 2 0 0 0
03/05/25 152 77 1300 2 * 10 0 0 12 0 0 0
04/05/25 159 92 1350 1 * 7 0 0 2 0 0 0
05/05/25 159 108 1420 1 * 5 0 0 3 0 0 0
06/05/25 156 90 1540 0 * 14 0 0 6 0 0 0
07/05/25 154 84 1480 0 * 15 0 0 13 0 0 0
08/05/25 149 84 1440 1 * 9 0 0 6 1 0 0
09/05/25 136 77 1340 0 * 7 0 0 3 0 0 0
10/05/25 134 70 820 1 * 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/05/25 126 77 250 1 * 16 1 0 1 0 0 0
12/05/25 116 64 200 1 * 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
13/05/25 117 54 260 0 * 2 0 1 4 2 0 0
14/05/25 122 53 260 1 * 6 4 1 4 1 1 0
15/05/25 119 45 290 0 * 9 1 0 2 1 0 0
16/05/25 117 57 330 2 * 6 0 0 7 0 0 0
17/05/25 117 58 310 1 * 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
18/05/25 118 53 330 0 * 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
19/05/25 117 66 310 1 * 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
20/05/25 119 67 290 1 * 11 0 0 2 0 0 0
Average/Total 143 90 776 26 204 13 2 117 9 2 0

Summary graph

Flares

Solar wind

Solar Wind

The solar wind is a stream of plasma released from the upper atmosphere of the Sun. It consists of mostly electrons, protons and alpha particles with energies usually between 1.5 and 10 keV. The stream of particles varies in density, temperature, and speed over time and over solar longitude. These particles can escape the Sun's gravity because of their high energy, from the high temperature of the corona and magnetic, electrical and electromagnetic phenomena in it.

The solar wind is divided into two components, respectively termed the slow solar wind and the fast solar wind. The slow solar wind has a velocity of about 400 km/s, a temperature of 1.4–1.6×10e6 K and a composition that is a close match to the corona. By contrast, the fast solar wind has a typical velocity of 750 km/s, a temperature of 8×10e5 K and it nearly matches the composition of the Sun's photosphere. The slow solar wind is twice as dense and more variable in intensity than the fast solar wind. The slow wind also has a more complex structure, with turbulent regions and large-scale structures.

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

Solar radio flux at 10.7 cm

The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm (2800 MHz) is an excellent indicator of solar activity. Often called the F10.7 index, it is one of the longest running records of solar activity. The F10.7 radio emissions originates high in the chromosphere and low in the corona of the solar atmosphere. The F10.7 correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV) and visible solar irradiance records. Reported in “solar flux units”, (s.f.u.), the F10.7 can vary from below 50 s.f.u., to above 300 s.f.u., over the course of a solar cycle.

Flares

Flares

A solar flare is a sudden flash of brightness observed over the Sun's surface or the solar limb, which is interpreted as a large energy release of up to 6 × 10e25 joules of energy. They are often, but not always, followed by a colossal coronal mass ejection. The flare ejects clouds of electrons, ions, and atoms through the corona of the sun into space. These clouds typically reach Earth a day or two after the event.

Solar flares affect all layers of the solar atmosphere (photosphere, chromosphere, and corona), when the plasma medium is heated to tens of millions of kelvin, while the electrons, protons, and heavier ions are accelerated to near the speed of light. They produce radiation across the electromagnetic spectrum at all wavelengths, from radio waves to gamma rays, although most of the energy is spread over frequencies outside the visual range and for this reason the majority of the flares are not visible to the naked eye and must be observed with special instruments. Flares occur in active regions around sunspots, where intense magnetic fields penetrate the photosphere to link the corona to the solar interior. Flares are powered by the sudden (timescales of minutes to tens of minutes) release of magnetic energy stored in the corona. The same energy releases may produce coronal mass ejections (CME), although the relation between CMEs and flares is still not well established.

The frequency of occurrence of solar flares varies, from several per day when the Sun is particularly "active" to less than one every week when the Sun is "quiet", following the 11-year cycle (the solar cycle). Large flares are less frequent than smaller ones.

Classification

Solar flares are classified as A, B, C, M or X according to the peak flux (in watts per square metre, W/m2) of 100 to 800 picometre X-rays near Earth, as measured on the GOES spacecraft.

Classification Peak Flux Range at 100-800 picometer
W/m2
A < 10e-7
B 10e-7 to 10e-6
C 10e-6 to 10e-5
M 10e-5 to 10e-4
X 10e-4 to 10e-3
Z > 10e-3

An earlier flare classification is based on Hα spectral observations. The scheme uses both the intensity and emitting surface. The classification in intensity is qualitative, referring to the flares as: (f)aint, (n)ormal or (b)rilliant. The emitting surface is measured in terms of millionths of the hemisphere and is described below. (The total hemisphere area AH = 6.2 × 1012 km2.)

Classification Corrected area
(millionths of hemisphere)
S < 100
1 100 - 250
2 250 - 600
3 600 - 1200
4 > 1200

Sunspot number

Sunspots

Sunspots are temporary phenomena on the photosphere of the Sun that appear visibly as dark spots compared to surrounding regions. They correspond to concentrations of magnetic field that inhibit convection and result in reduced surface temperature compared to the surrounding photosphere. Sunspots usually appear in pairs, with pair members of opposite magnetic polarity. The number of sunspots varies according to the approximately 11-year solar cycle.

Sunspot populations quickly rise and more slowly fall on an irregular cycle of 11 years, although significant variations in the number of sunspots attending the 11-year period are known over longer spans of time. For example, from 1900 to the 1960s, the solar maxima trend of sunspot count has been upward; from the 1960s to the present, it has diminished somewhat. Over the last decades the Sun has had a markedly high average level of sunspot activity; it was last similarly active over 8,000 years ago.

The number of sunspots correlates with the intensity of solar radiation over the period since 1979, when satellite measurements of absolute radiative flux became available. Since sunspots are darker than the surrounding photosphere it might be expected that more sunspots would lead to less solar radiation and a decreased solar constant. However, the surrounding margins of sunspots are brighter than the average, and so are hotter; overall, more sunspots increase the Sun's solar constant or brightness. The variation caused by the sunspot cycle to solar output is relatively small, on the order of 0.1% of the solar constant (a peak-to-trough range of 1.3 W/m2 compared to 1366 W/m2 for the average solar constant).

K-indices



Today


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4. 00 - 1. 00 - 1.



Data


Estimated Planetary

Estimated Planetary

Date A K-indices (UTC)
0h 3h 6h 9h 12h 15h 18h 21h
22/04/25 13 3. 67 3. 00 3.
23/04/25 7 1. 67 2. 67 1.
24/04/25 13 2. 67 2. 33 3.
25/04/25 5 1. 00 1. 00 1.
26/04/25 7 2. 00 2. 00 1.
27/04/25 6 1. 33 2. 33 1.
28/04/25 5 2. 67 0. 67 0.
29/04/25 6 0. 33 1. 67 2.
30/04/25 12 3. 67 2. 67 2.
01/05/25 28 3. 33 4. 00 3.
02/05/25 39 5. 33 4. 67 4.
03/05/25 26 5. 00 4. 00 3.
04/05/25 25 4. 00 3. 33 4.
05/05/25 29 3. 33 4. 67 4.
06/05/25 15 3. 67 2. 33 3.
07/05/25 9 2. 33 2. 67 2.
08/05/25 12 2. 33 3. 00 3.
09/05/25 15 2. 67 2. 33 1.
10/05/25 12 4. 33 3. 67 2.
11/05/25 17 2. 33 3. 33 2.
12/05/25 6 2. 33 2. 00 1.
13/05/25 9 1. 67 1. 67 1.
14/05/25 16 3. 33 2. 33 2.
15/05/25 13 3. 00 4. 00 2.
16/05/25 13 2. 33 3. 00 3.
17/05/25 38 6. 33 5. 33 3.
18/05/25 22 4. 00 3. 00 4.
19/05/25 10 3. 33 3. 00 1.
20/05/25 13 2. 33 3. 00 3.
21/05/25 15 4. 00 - 1. 00 - 1.

Middle Latitude

Date A K-indices
22/04/25 13 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 2
23/04/25 9 1 2 2 4 3 2 1 1
24/04/25 14 2 2 4 3 4 2 3 2
25/04/25 5 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2
26/04/25 7 2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2
27/04/25 7 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 1
28/04/25 5 2 0 1 2 2 1 2 1
29/04/25 6 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
30/04/25 14 3 2 4 4 2 1 2 3
01/05/25 21 3 3 4 3 4 3 4 4
02/05/25 24 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4
03/05/25 20 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 3
04/05/25 17 3 3 4 2 3 4 3 3
05/05/25 23 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
06/05/25 15 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
07/05/25 8 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2
08/05/25 11 1 3 3 1 3 2 1 4
09/05/25 11 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 4
10/05/25 14 5 4 2 2 2 2 1 2
11/05/25 14 2 3 2 2 3 2 4 4
12/05/25 7 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2
13/05/25 9 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 3
14/05/25 13 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2
15/05/25 15 3 5 3 1 2 2 2 3
16/05/25 11 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 3
17/05/25 25 5 5 3 4 4 3 3 2
18/05/25 16 4 2 4 3 2 3 3 3
19/05/25 10 3 3 1 2 3 2 2 2
20/05/25 12 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3
21/05/25 3

High Latitude

Date A K-indices
22/04/25 14 3 2 4 3 3 3 2 2
23/04/25 12 1 2 2 5 3 2 2 1
24/04/25 22 2 2 5 5 5 2 2 1
25/04/25 4 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 2
26/04/25 15 2 2 1 5 5 1 1 1
27/04/25 4 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 1
28/04/25 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
29/04/25 7 0 2 3 3 2 1 2 1
30/04/25 22 2 3 5 6 2 1 2 2
01/05/25 36 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 4
02/05/25 68 5 5 5 6 7 6 5 5
03/05/25 39 5 4 5 6 5 4 3 3
04/05/25 51 3 4 6 4 6 7 4 3
05/05/25 62 4 5 7 6 6 6 3 4
06/05/25 20 3 3 5 4 3 3 2 3
07/05/25 16 3 2 4 5 3 2 1 1
08/05/25 30 2 3 4 2 6 6 2 3
09/05/25 24 3 3 2 3 5 5 4 3
10/05/25 17 4 4 2 3 5 2 1 1
11/05/25 16 2 3 4 3 4 3 2 3
12/05/25 10 2 2 2 3 4 2 1 2
13/05/25 6 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 2
14/05/25 24 4 3 3 4 5 4 4 1
15/05/25 22 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 3
16/05/25 24 2 4 5 5 4 3 2 3
17/05/25 51 5 5 4 6 6 6 4 3
18/05/25 40 4 2 6 6 4 6 3 2
19/05/25 13 3 4 2 3 3 3 0 2
20/05/25 34 3 5 5 6 5 3 2 2
21/05/25 3

About

The K-index quantifies disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field with an integer in the range 0–9 with 1 being calm and 5 or more indicating a geomagnetic storm. It is derived from the maximum fluctuations of horizontal components observed on a magnetometer during a three-hour interval. The label K comes from the German word Kennziffer meaning “characteristic digit”. The K-index was introduced by Julius Bartels in 1938.

The Estimated 3-hour Planetary Kp-index is derived at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center using data from the following ground-based magnetometers:

  • Sitka, Alaska
  • Meanook, Canada
  • Ottawa, Canada
  • Fredericksburg, Virginia
  • Hartland, UK
  • Wingst, Germany
  • Niemegk, Germany
  • Canberra, Australia

These data are made available thanks to the cooperative efforts between SWPC and data providers around the world, which currently includes the U.S. Geological Survey, Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the British Geological Survey, the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), and Geoscience Australia. Important magnetometer observations are also contributed by the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris and the Korean Space Weather Center K-index Watches are issued when the highest predicted NOAA estimated Kp-indices for a day are K = 5, 6, 7, or >= 8 and is reported in terms of the NOAA G scale. K-index Warnings are issued when NOAA estimated Kp-indices of 4, 5, 6, and 7 or greater are expected. K-index Alerts are issued when the NOAA estimated Kp-indices reach 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.


More info
Data source: NOAA, Wikipedia

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